GoodGroup2Crop1The central aim of the research is to better understand the causes of periods where the rate of global-mean surface temperature is increased or decreased at decadal time-scales compared with long term (multi-decadal) trends. The multi-disciplinary research team are seeking to understand both the slowdown in the rate of warming since the late 1990s and also earlier hiatus and surge events.

Latest news

May 2017: SMURPHS Project-wide research meeting held at NOC

In May 2017 we held the second, annual, project-wide research meeting. This two-day gathering of SMURPHS teams was held at the National Oceanography Centre in Southampton and was attended by researchers from all 9 partner institutions. The event was kicked-off with a keynote presentation by SMURPHS Adviser Professor Matthew England, Deputy Director of Climate Change […]

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April 2017: Richard Allan publishes comment on warming slowdown in Nature Climate Change

Global surface warming was slower than expected in the first decade of the twenty-first century. Might this have been due to ocean or atmosphere fluctuations as research suggests, or was it in fact due to something more subtle? In his ‘News and Views’ article in Nature Climate Change Principal Investigator (Reading), Richard Allan comments that, ‘ the […]

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New publication: Surface flux and ocean heat transport convergence contributions to seasonal and interannual variations of ocean heat content

The ocean plays a crucial role in the global energy budget as it is Earth’s primary heat reservoir on climate-relevant time scales. As such, variations in ocean heat content play a fundamental role in global and regional climate variability and the transient response to climate. In addition, ocean heat uptake is one of the major […]

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New publication: Estimating changes in global temperature since the pre-industrial period

Defining ‘pre-industrial’ The UN Paris Agreement on climate change aims to ensure increases in global temperature are less than 2°C above ‘pre-industrial’ levels, with an aspirational 1.5°C limit. However, the ‘starting line’ of the pre-industrial era is not defined by the UN agreements, or by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). A new analysis […]

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New publication: Radiative forcing of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide: A significant revision of the methane radiative forcing

New, detailed, radiative transfer calculations of greenhouse gas radiative forcing have been performed by Gunnar Myhre (a SMURPHS External Partner at the Centre for International Climate and Environmental Research – Oslo) in collaboration with the University of Reading (a member of the SMURPHS consortium).  They show that the radiative forcing due to methane changes are […]

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University of Leeds
University of Edinburgh
University of Oxford
University of Reading
University of Southampton
University of Exeter
National Oceanography Centre
Met Office